When to double down

Doubling is where blackjack pays you back for the hands you lose. Here is when to do it at our table, and what each double is worth.

The short answer

Double hard 11 against every dealer card except an ace, hard 10 against 2–9 and hard 9 against 3–6. Double soft 13–14 (A,2 and A,3) against 5–6, soft 15–16 (A,4 and A,5) against 4–6, and soft 17–18 (A,6 and A,7) against 3–6. Never double hard 12 or more. Doubling right is worth about 1.5% of everything you bet.

Six decks · dealer stands on all 17s · blackjack pays 3 to 2 · double on any two cards, also after a split · no surrender
Hard totals
Dealer’s up card
Your hand2345678910A
5–8HHHHHHHHHH
9HDDDDHHHHH
10DDDDDDDDHH
11DDDDDDDDDH
12HHSSSHHHHH
13SSSSSHHHHH
14SSSSSHHHHH
15SSSSSHHHHH
16SSSSSHHHHH
17+SSSSSSSSSS
Soft totals (ace counted as 11)
Dealer’s up card
Your hand2345678910A
A,2HHHDDHHHHH
A,3HHHDDHHHHH
A,4HHDDDHHHHH
A,5HHDDDHHHHH
A,6HDDDDHHHHH
A,7SDsDsDsDsSSHHH
A,8SSSSSSSSSS
A,9SSSSSSSSSS
  • HHit
  • SStand
  • DDouble; if you can’t, hit
  • DsDouble; if you can’t, stand
  • PSplit

How doubling works at our table

  • You can double on your first two cards — any two cards, any total.
  • You add a second bet equal to the first and get exactly one more card. Then the hand is finished.
  • Doubling is allowed after a split, except on split aces.
  • You can’t double after taking a card, and you can’t double for less: the button always matches your full bet and shows the price, for example “+1,000”.

Because you get only one card, a double is a bet that one card will be enough. That makes 9, 10 and 11 the natural candidates — many cards turn them into 19, 20 or 21 — and a weak dealer card the natural moment.

Hard 11, 10 and 9

Average result per 100 debens of the original bet; the better move is in bold.
Dealer shows11: double / hit10: double / hit9: double / hit
2+48.2 / +24.4+37.0 / +18.8+7.0 / +7.7
3+53.0 / +26.6+42.3 / +21.2+13.3 / +10.7
4+58.0 / +29.0+47.6 / +23.8+19.8 / +13.7
5+63.1 / +31.6+53.1 / +26.5+26.4 / +16.9
6+67.7 / +33.8+58.6 / +29.3+32.9 / +20.2
7+46.6 / +29.3+40.1 / +26.0+11.6 / +17.6
8+34.9 / +22.9+29.1 / +20.0−2.1 / +10.0
9+22.7 / +15.6+14.7 / +11.7−29.8 / −5.2
10+17.7 / +11.8−0.6 / +2.6−46.3 / −15.2
Ace+12.3 / +14.7−0.8 / +8.1−42.9 / −6.8

11 is the best hand to double: every ten-value card gives you 21. Against a 6, doubling 11 earns +67.7 per 100 debens of your original bet, twice what a plain hit earns.

10 stops being a double against a ten or an ace, where the dealer often reaches 20 or 21. 9 is a double only against 3–6, and against a 2 it is the closest cell in the table: hit +7.7, double +7.0.

11 against an ace: hit

Plenty of players double 11 against anything. At our table, against an ace, a plain hit is better: +14.7 per 100 against +12.3. The dealer has already checked and has no blackjack, but an ace still finishes on 17–21 more than four times in five. You want the option to take a second card if the first one is small.

The answer depends on the dealer’s soft 17 rule. Where the dealer hits soft 17, the ace becomes a little weaker and doubling 11 is right — our recalculation for those rules confirms it. Our dealer stands, so hit.

Soft doubles

These are the doubles beginners miss. One card can’t bust a soft hand, and against a dealer showing a weak card it pays to put in a second bet even when your total is small:

Per 100 debens of the original bet.
HandDouble againstExample: double / next best
A,2 and A,3 (soft 13–14)5, 6A,2 against a 6: +18.8 / hit +16.3
A,4 and A,5 (soft 15–16)4, 5, 6A,4 against a 4: +6.2 / hit +5.9
A,6 (soft 17)3, 4, 5, 6A,6 against a 6: +25.9 / hit +12.9
A,7 (soft 18)3, 4, 5, 6 — otherwise standA,7 against a 6: +38.3 / stand +28.0

Some of these are tiny edges: A,4 against a 4 earns three tenths of a deben more per 100 by doubling. Others, like A,6 against a 6, double your result. If you already hold three cards and can no longer double, hit soft 13–17 and stand on soft 18. There is more in soft hands.

Doubles that cost you

Doubling too rarely is expensive, and so is doubling in the wrong spots. The common habits, as a share of everything you bet:

Exact calculation for our rules.
HabitExtra cost
Never doubling 110.74%
Never doubling 100.40%
Never doubling 90.08%
Never doubling soft hands A,2–A,60.06%
Doubling 10 against a ten0.03%
Standing on A,7 against 3–6 instead of doubling0.03%
Doubling 11 against an ace0.01%

And never double a hard 12 or more. Against a 6, doubling 12 loses 34.1 per 100 debens of the original bet; standing loses 15.4. One ten-value card busts the hand, and then you lose twice the bet.

What doubling is worth

In the simulation, a player who follows the chart but never doubles faces a house edge of 1.95% instead of 0.43%. Doubling is worth 1.5% of everything you bet — more than splitting and declining insurance put together. The chart doubles in about one round in ten.

It also means a double needs debens in reserve. If your balance only covers the bet, you will have to hit when the chart says double. Betting no more than a tenth of your balance per hand leaves room for doubles and splits.

Questions about doubling

Can I double after hitting?

No. Doubling is only allowed on your first two cards, including the first two cards of a split hand.

Can I double for less than my bet?

Not at our table. A double always matches your original bet.

Should I double 11 against a ten?

Yes. Doubling earns +17.7 per 100 debens of your original bet, hitting +11.8.

Why not double 12 against a 6?

Any ten-value card busts 12, and then you lose twice the bet. Standing on 12 against a 6 loses 15.4 per 100; doubling would lose 34.1.

Can I double after splitting?

Yes, on any split hand except split aces, which get one card each.

Read next

Basic strategy chart

The right move for every hand at our table, how we calculated it and what it saves.

Read more →

Soft and hard hands

How to tell them apart, why soft hands are played boldly, and the soft 17 and 18 traps.

Read more →

When to split

Every pair against every dealer card, our split rules and what each split is worth.

Read more →

House edge

Our 0.40%, how it was calculated, what every rule changes and how simple styles compare.

Read more →

Double where it counts

At the Scribes’ Table a double costs as little as 100 debens. Watch for 11 against a 6 — the best hand there is to double.

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